Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 98% |
| O/U 30.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Rams 1H O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 90% |
| O/U 33.5 | 89% |
| O/U 29.5 | 84% |
| O/U 31.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| O/U 36.5 | 80% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 77% |
| Rams O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| Rams O/U 10.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| O/U 40.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 60% |
| Rams vs. Eagles | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 43.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 51% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Rams Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rams vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Rams O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| O/U 45.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 46.5 | 42% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 50.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| O/U 47.5 | 37% |
| O/U 53.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| O/U 48.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| O/U 55.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| O/U 52.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 62.5 | 26% |
| O/U 64.5 | 26% |
| O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 19-24 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| O/U 51.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 54.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| O/U 63.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Rams vs. Eagles" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams". If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If the game is postponed, this mar…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $5.4M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Rams vs. Eagles auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Predictionwetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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