Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 27.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| O/U 31.5 | 86% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 34.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 48% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Packers vs. Vikings. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 45% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-13T20:25:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $119K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Predictionwetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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