Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 89% |
| Spread -5.5 | 87% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 | 87% |
| Spread -7.5 | 86% |
| Spread -9.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 82% |
| Spread -10.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| Spread -11.5 | 81% |
| O/U 37.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 77% |
| Spread -14.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 72% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 72% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| Spread -16.5 | 71% |
| Spread -12.5 | 70% |
| Spread -17.5 | 68% |
| O/U 41.5 | 68% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| Spread -15.5 | 67% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 64% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| O/U 43.5 | 62% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Spread -19.5 | 61% |
| Spread -18.5 | 60% |
| Spread -20.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 58% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| O/U 45.5 | 56% |
| Spread -21.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -22.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Spread -23.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Spread -24.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Spread -25.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -26.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Spread -27.5 | 40% |
| Spread -28.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| Spread -30.5 | 35% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 27% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -34.5 | 27% |
| Spread -33.5 | 26% |
| Spread -36.5 | 25% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Spread -37.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| O/U 71.5 | 22% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 16% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 15% |
| O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 12% |
| O/U 67.5 | 11% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 8% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) | 7% |
| O/U 69.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 3% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 92% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL). In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game. This market will r…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $390K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Predictionwetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Predictionwetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)" auf Predictionwetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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