Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 83% |
| O/U 32.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 79% |
| Indiana O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 40.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 69% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| Indiana O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 59% |
| O/U 46.5 | 58% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| O/U 44.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 48.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 50.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 42% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 52.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| O/U 62.5 | 29% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| O/U 58.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| O/U 66.5 | 26% |
| O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 64.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
Markt-Kontext
Ohio State vs. Indiana. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 56% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $404K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Ohio State vs. Indiana über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Predictionwetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Predictionwetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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