Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Washington State vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Washington State vs. Utah State — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Washington State and Utah State, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game. Th…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $745K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Washington State vs. Utah State auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
Jetzt „Prognose: Washington State vs. Utah State" auf Predictionwetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →