Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 94% |
| O/U 37.5 | 94% |
| O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 89% |
| O/U 43.5 | 87% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 77% |
| O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| Colorado State O/U 23.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 70% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Colorado State O/U 26.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Colorado State O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 32.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Colorado State O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| San Diego State O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Colorado State O/U 35.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| O/U 65.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 69.5 | 29% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| O/U 75.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 94% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: San Diego State vs. Colorado State. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $79K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: San Diego State vs. Colorado State auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: San Diego State vs. Colorado State" auf Predictionwetten handeln
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