Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State | 95% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 88% |
| Ohio O/U 20.5 | 88% |
| Spread -7.5 | 87% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -8.5 | 86% |
| Spread -9.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| Ohio O/U 23.5 | 82% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 82% |
| Spread -11.5 | 81% |
| Spread -10.5 | 80% |
| Spread -12.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 35.5 | 76% |
| Spread -14.5 | 73% |
| Spread -15.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| Spread -16.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 67% |
| Spread -17.5 | 66% |
| Spread -18.5 | 59% |
| Spread -20.5 | 58% |
| Spread -19.5 | 56% |
| Spread -21.5 | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Sacramento State O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 49% |
| O/U 43.5 | 48% |
| O/U 45.5 | 43% |
| Spread -24.5 | 42% |
| Spread -22.5 | 41% |
| Spread -27.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 33% |
| O/U 49.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 29% |
| O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| Spread -31.5 | 28% |
| Spread -30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -28.5 | 26% |
| O/U 51.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| O/U 69.5 | 24% |
| O/U 73.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| O/U 53.5 | 20% |
| Spread -34.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 17% |
| Sacramento State O/U 23.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| O/U 71.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 95% Chance für prognose: ohio vs. sacramento state. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio and Sacramento State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game. This marke…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $152K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Predictionwetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Ohio vs. Sacramento State" auf Predictionwetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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