Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Predictionwetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Louisiana Tech and Louisiana-Monroe, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana Tech" if Louisiana Tech win the game. T…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $144K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Predictionwetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Predictionwetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Jetzt „Prognose: Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe" auf Predictionwetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →